TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094183
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111141719511––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:42 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 17-19
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 87 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 69.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 47–34 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 34 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-34 in 81
Maliuk
Wrong
gap of 13 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1504 vs Miroshnychenko 1365
Maliuk
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 80% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 60% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +1 · Miroshnychenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Maliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094183
Maliuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Miroshnychenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 81 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back13% 28 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk7wins
AwayMiroshnychenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Maliuk4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Maliuk8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Maliuk took 8 of 10
S4Maliuk4Miroshnychenko1n = 5Maliuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukMiroshnychenkoMaliuk − MiroshnychenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.733.1+3.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 491 vs 304 / 86249.7%35.3%244 / 491 vs 304 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMaliuk 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 09:00S. Maliuk—11716123S. Miroshnychenko—71114101
LAug 20 · 11:00S. Maliuk—8630S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
WAug 18 · 04:30S. Maliuk—1112133S. Miroshnychenko—810110
WAug 14 · 06:00S. Maliuk—761111113S. Miroshnychenko—11116452
WAug 12 · 06:30S. Maliuk—1112113S. Miroshnychenko—51060
WAug 6 · 07:00S. Maliuk—131011113S. Miroshnychenko—1112461
LAug 5 · 10:00S. Maliuk—11711562S. Miroshnychenko—811811113
LAug 4 · 10:00S. Maliuk—95100S. Miroshnychenko—1111123
WJul 30 · 11:00S. Maliuk—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—5960
WJul 29 · 11:30S. Maliuk—121112113S. Miroshnychenko—1421071
S. Maliuk10
WSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113WSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113LSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113WSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132
Upcoming Matches
S. Maliuk
Nothing scheduled
S. Miroshnychenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.