TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100618
Played Sep 9Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911511––––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 82.6% is still 82.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Miroshnychenko to win
82.6%
82.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Miroshnychenko at 82.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 1–16 Serhii Miroshnychenko Ihor Torhachov has won 1 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Miroshnychenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-16 in 17
Miroshnychenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1279 vs Miroshnychenko 1389
Miroshnychenko
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 40% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Miroshnychenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 50% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov -1 · Miroshnychenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Miroshnychenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 4.33 / Miroshnychenko 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Miroshnychenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100618
Torhachov4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 25 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Miroshnychenko1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite82% won 45 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov1wins
AwayMiroshnychenko9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMiroshnychenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMiroshnychenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S2Torhachov2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S3Torhachov3Miroshnychenko7n = 10Miroshnychenko took 7 of 10
S4Torhachov1Miroshnychenko4n = 5Miroshnychenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovMiroshnychenkoT − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match25.537.5−12.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 513 vs 303 / 85950.3%35.3%258 / 513 vs 303 / 859Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiroshnychenkoTorhachov 4.33/Miroshnychenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.6%
Miroshnychenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 14:00I. Torhachov—1112471S. Miroshnychenko—81411113
LJul 5 · 14:00I. Torhachov—11116642S. Miroshnychenko—681111113
LJul 1 · 11:30I. Torhachov—4720S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJun 30 · 15:30I. Torhachov—8570S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJun 28 · 16:00I. Torhachov—3640S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LFeb 18 · 12:30I. Torhachov—471181S. Miroshnychenko—11119113
WFeb 4 · 08:30I. Torhachov—41113113S. Miroshnychenko—1181161
LJan 20 · 09:30I. Torhachov—871131S. Miroshnychenko—11118113
LJan 14 · 11:30I. Torhachov—7750S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJan 1 · 11:30I. Torhachov—5780S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113LSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113WSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172
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