TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100646
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711911511––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 86.8% is still 86.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Miroshnychenko to win
86.8%
86.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Miroshnychenko at 86.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 2–25 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Priadko has won 2 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Miroshnychenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-25 in 27
Miroshnychenko
Correct
gap of 23 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1185 vs Miroshnychenko 1389
Miroshnychenko
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Miroshnychenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Miroshnychenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Miroshnychenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 5.00 / Miroshnychenko 1.14
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Miroshnychenko)+5.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100646
Priadko5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Miroshnychenko1.14
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite82% won 45 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko0wins
AwayMiroshnychenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMiroshnychenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMiroshnychenko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S2Priadko2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S3Priadko1Miroshnychenko9n = 10Miroshnychenko took 9 of 10
S4Priadko0Miroshnychenko4n = 4Miroshnychenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoMiroshnychenkoP − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.638.0−10.4per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 622 vs 303 / 85941.3%35.3%257 / 622 vs 303 / 859Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiroshnychenkoPriadko 5.00/Miroshnychenko 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.8%
Miroshnychenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko—117951S. Miroshnychenko—91111113
LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko—4590S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LAug 26 · 16:30S. Priadko—10860S. Miroshnychenko—1211113
LJul 24 · 12:30S. Priadko—61060S. Miroshnychenko—1112113
LJul 19 · 14:30S. Priadko—711731S. Miroshnychenko—11911113
LJul 17 · 13:30S. Priadko—9440S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJul 5 · 15:30S. Priadko—11711972S. Miroshnychenko—811711113
LJul 1 · 07:30S. Priadko—6116151S. Miroshnychenko—11611173
LJun 30 · 16:30S. Priadko—99110S. Miroshnychenko—1111133
LJun 28 · 17:43S. Priadko—61070S. Miroshnychenko—1112113
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113LSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113WSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132WSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113
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