TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094517
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81120181113114411
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 20-18
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 111 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 60.9%
111 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 50–33 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 33 of their 83 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-33 in 83
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 17 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1490 vs Lyman 1402
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 40% vs Lyman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 40% vs Lyman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Lyman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.61 / Lyman 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kurylenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094517
Kurylenko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 160 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it92% 75 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it82% 112 of 137
Lyman2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 56 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko3wins
AwayLyman7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLyman77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko1Lyman9n = 10Lyman took 9 of 10
S2Kurylenko3Lyman7n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S3Kurylenko5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurylenko2Lyman2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoLymanK − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.935.1−5.2per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 997 vs 274 / 61349.8%44.7%496 / 997 vs 274 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.61/Lyman 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—4860O. Lyman—1111113
WSep 3 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—411119113O. Lyman—11571192
LAug 27 · 09:00O. Kurylenko—7101141O. Lyman—1112553
LAug 25 · 09:00O. Kurylenko—81010O. Lyman—1112113
WAug 19 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—51111113O. Lyman—118681
WJun 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—1413113O. Lyman—121140
LJun 12 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—7570O. Lyman—1111113
LJun 10 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—10760O. Lyman—1211113
LJun 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—5680O. Lyman—1111113
LMay 30 · 12:00O. Kurylenko—710111182O. Lyman—111295113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113LSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133WSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113LSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113LSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113WSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113
O. Lyman10
WSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113LSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113
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