TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105912
Played Sep 10Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161113118116––
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 56.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 16–23 Dmytro Prylepa Serhii Maliuk has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-23 in 39
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1500 vs Prylepa 1491
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 60% vs Prylepa 40%
Maliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 60% vs Prylepa 40%
Maliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +2 · Prylepa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 2.10 / Prylepa 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Prylepa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105912
Maliuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 91 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 70
Prylepa1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 132 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it99% 64 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it86% 108 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk4wins
AwayPrylepa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrylepa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk3Prylepa7n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Maliuk6Prylepa4n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S3Maliuk6Prylepa4n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Maliuk4Prylepa4n = 8split evenly
S5Maliuk1Prylepa3n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukPrylepaM − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.5+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 495 vs 393 / 79849.7%49.3%246 / 495 vs 393 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaMaliuk 2.10/Prylepa 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:00S. Maliuk—91111113D. Prylepa—115551
WSep 4 · 11:00S. Maliuk—111168113D. Prylepa—67111192
LAug 20 · 07:00S. Maliuk—1199101D. Prylepa—51111123
LAug 18 · 08:30S. Maliuk—71151192D. Prylepa—115119113
WAug 13 · 11:00S. Maliuk—1111113D. Prylepa—6590
LAug 12 · 08:30S. Maliuk—91211882D. Prylepa—1110511113
LAug 5 · 05:00S. Maliuk—77120D. Prylepa—1111143
LJul 29 · 09:30S. Maliuk—981171D. Prylepa—11115113
WJul 21 · 10:30S. Maliuk—61111113D. Prylepa—116661
LJul 16 · 07:00S. Maliuk—78111192D. Prylepa—111169113
S. Maliuk10
LSep 10 · 11:30O. Lyman2.50911117113S. Maliuk1.5011991182WSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113WSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko2.751139121S. Maliuk1.4091111143LSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121LSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113WSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113
D. Prylepa10
WSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881
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