TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105617
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191179111412––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 84 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 58.9%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 42–23 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 23 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-23 in 65
Syksa
Correct
gap of 19 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1648 vs Maliuk 1488
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 60% vs Maliuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 60% vs Maliuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Maliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.61 / Maliuk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Syksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105617
Syksa1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 234 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it94% 93 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it82% 157 of 192
Maliuk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 91 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa5wins
AwayMaliuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa100%4 of 4
AwayMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Syksa6Maliuk4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S3Syksa3Maliuk7n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S4Syksa5Maliuk2n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5Syksa2Maliuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaMaliukS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.8−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1098 vs 244 / 49252.4%49.6%575 / 1098 vs 244 / 492Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.61/Maliuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 08:30O. Syksa—51111101S. Maliuk—11133123
LAug 26 · 09:30O. Syksa—7970S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 20 · 05:30O. Syksa—11117113S. Maliuk—761151
WAug 18 · 10:00O. Syksa—11117113S. Maliuk—961181
LAug 14 · 11:30O. Syksa—9870S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 13 · 08:30O. Syksa—1112113S. Maliuk—81090
WAug 12 · 10:00O. Syksa—611135133S. Maliuk—1171111112
LAug 6 · 08:30O. Syksa—611151182S. Maliuk—113178113
LAug 4 · 11:00O. Syksa—41141182S. Maliuk—118118113
WJul 30 · 08:30O. Syksa—116613113S. Maliuk—511111152
O. Syksa10
LSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.91811174113O. Syksa1.80116151192WSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5713913123O. Ziakun2.25111111101LSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972
S. Maliuk10
WSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko2.751139121S. Maliuk1.4091111143LSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113WSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972
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