TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100617
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111161715411119
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 103 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 4–4 Oleksandr Syksa Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:22What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1567 vs Syksa 1661
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 40% vs Syksa 80%
Syksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 30% vs Syksa 70%
Syksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +2 · Syksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Syksa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.91 / Syksa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Syksa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100617
Vasylets1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 52 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Syksa1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 232 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it94% 93 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it82% 156 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVasylets4wins
AwaySyksa4wins
1 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets75%3 of 4
AwaySyksa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets4Syksa4n = 8split evenly
S2Vasylets3Syksa5n = 8Syksa took 5 of 8
S3Vasylets3Syksa5n = 8Syksa took 5 of 8
S4Vasylets3Syksa2n = 5Vasylets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricVasyletsSyksaV − SBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.933.8+2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 525 vs 575 / 109844.6%52.4%234 / 525 vs 575 / 1098Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaVasylets 1.91/Syksa 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets—11119113O. Syksa—761191
WAug 26 · 05:30A. Vasylets—712811113O. Syksa—111011782
LAug 12 · 08:00A. Vasylets—1186101O. Syksa—11111123
LAug 8 · 12:00A. Vasylets—10690O. Syksa—1211113
LApr 18 · 15:00A. Vasylets—111160O. Syksa—1313113
WAug 29 · 17:07A. Vasylets—1112113O. Syksa—41040
LFeb 22 · 17:58A. Vasylets—1051161O. Syksa—12115113
WFeb 22 · 13:00A. Vasylets—11911113O. Syksa—311581
A. Vasylets10
WSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100
O. Syksa10
WSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5713913123O. Ziakun2.25111111101LSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972LSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191
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