TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106043
Played Sep 10Finished
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1193119111214––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 80 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 69.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 35–49 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 35 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-49 in 84
Maliuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1385 vs Maliuk 1490
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 60% vs Maliuk 40%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 60% vs Maliuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko +2 · Maliuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 2.75 / Maliuk 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Maliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106043
Miroshnychenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 80 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back13% 28 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 114
Maliuk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 66 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it77% 49 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko3wins
AwayMaliuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenko50%2 of 4
AwayMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko6Maliuk4n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko2Maliuk8n = 10Maliuk took 8 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko2Maliuk5n = 7Maliuk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoMaliukMiroshnychenko − MaliukBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.3−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 865 vs 245 / 49435.4%49.6%306 / 865 vs 245 / 494Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMiroshnychenko 2.75/Maliuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko—1139121S. Maliuk—91111143
WSep 8 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko—11419113S. Maliuk—9111751
LSep 3 · 05:00S. Miroshnychenko—6111081S. Maliuk—11812113
LSep 1 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko—71114101S. Maliuk—11716123
WAug 20 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko—1111113S. Maliuk—8630
LAug 18 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko—810110S. Maliuk—1112133
LAug 14 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko—11116452S. Maliuk—761111113
LAug 12 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko—51060S. Maliuk—1112113
LAug 6 · 07:00S. Miroshnychenko—1112461S. Maliuk—131011113
WAug 5 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko—811811113S. Maliuk—11711562
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890WSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250LSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060LSep 9 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.40111157113S. Miroshnychenko1.3097111162WSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113WSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113LSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113WSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652
S. Maliuk10
LSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121LSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113WSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113
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