TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100723
Played Sep 9Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117511711116
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Miroshnychenko to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Miroshnychenko at 74.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 3–41 Serhii Miroshnychenko Viktor Ziakun has won 3 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-41 in 44
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
gap of 38 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1354 vs Miroshnychenko 1399
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Miroshnychenko 80%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +2 · Miroshnychenko +3
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Miroshnychenko) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.40 / Miroshnychenko 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Miroshnychenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100723
Ziakun3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 23 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Miroshnychenko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite82% won 45 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun1wins
AwayMiroshnychenko9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMiroshnychenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun14.3%1 of 7
AwayMiroshnychenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun3Miroshnychenko7n = 10Miroshnychenko took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun1Miroshnychenko9n = 10Miroshnychenko took 9 of 10
S4Ziakun2Miroshnychenko7n = 9Miroshnychenko took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoZ − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.7−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 630 vs 304 / 86059.8%35.4%377 / 630 vs 304 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.734.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiroshnychenkoZiakun 3.40/Miroshnychenko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.8%
Miroshnychenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun—118871S. Miroshnychenko—61111113
LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun—137981S. Miroshnychenko—111111113
LSep 1 · 05:30V. Ziakun—138991S. Miroshnychenko—111111113
LAug 26 · 15:30V. Ziakun—113571S. Miroshnychenko—81111113
WAug 11 · 10:00V. Ziakun—11118133S. Miroshnychenko—3711111
LJul 28 · 08:00V. Ziakun—711871S. Miroshnychenko—11511113
LJul 24 · 15:00V. Ziakun—46100S. Miroshnychenko—1111123
LJul 21 · 11:00V. Ziakun—11781192S. Miroshnychenko—611119113
LJul 19 · 17:33V. Ziakun—11111862S. Miroshnychenko—711711113
LJul 19 · 12:00V. Ziakun—1011791S. Miroshnychenko—12611113
V. Ziakun10
WSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163WSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123WSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113LSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113WSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113LSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113WSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142
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