TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111126
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1179116111012––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 85.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 3–25 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Lyman has won 3 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-25 in 28
Syksa
Correct
gap of 22 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1427 vs Syksa 1650
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 20% vs Syksa 60%
Syksa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 60% vs Syksa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman -3 · Syksa +1
Lyman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 4.50 / Syksa 1.17
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Syksa)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111126
Lyman4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 60 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Syksa1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 239 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it82% 161 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman1wins
AwaySyksa9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman0%0 of 3
AwaySyksa85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Lyman2Syksa8n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S3Lyman2Syksa8n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S4Lyman1Syksa6n = 7Syksa took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanSyksaL − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.341.4−7.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 617 vs 580 / 110344.6%52.6%275 / 617 vs 580 / 1103Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaLyman 4.50/Syksa 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 09:30O. Lyman—9680O. Syksa—1111113
LSep 6 · 10:00O. Lyman—8111141O. Syksa—11136113
LSep 4 · 06:00O. Lyman—7780O. Syksa—1111113
LSep 1 · 08:30O. Lyman—118491O. Syksa—81111113
LAug 27 · 04:30O. Lyman—7680O. Syksa—1111113
LAug 26 · 06:30O. Lyman—1161471O. Syksa—81116113
LAug 20 · 07:30O. Lyman—1195111O. Syksa—91111133
WJun 18 · 08:30O. Lyman—716511113O. Syksa—111411782
LJun 15 · 07:30O. Lyman—9151181O. Syksa—11172113
LJun 12 · 04:30O. Lyman—7131681O. Syksa—111118113
O. Lyman10
LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151LSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571511113O. Lyman2.2513970LSep 11 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.501111113O. Lyman2.509650WSep 10 · 11:30O. Lyman2.50911117113S. Maliuk1.5011991182LSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00811681O. Lyman1.3611711113WSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192WSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.61611171O. Lyman2.2011116113WSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.61820111142O. Lyman2.201118134113
O. Syksa10
LSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111WSep 11 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.101281111102O. Syksa1.671011713123LSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191WSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko3.401146101O. Syksa1.3061111123WSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280WSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180WSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121LSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.91811174113O. Syksa1.80116151192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.