TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111152
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
131181111313151614
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 16-14
Point 115 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 57.3%
115 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 63–87 Oleksandr Syksa Oleh Kurylenko has won 63 of their 150 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-87 in 150
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 24 in 150, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1433 vs Syksa 1661
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 20% vs Syksa 80%
Syksa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 30% vs Syksa 70%
Syksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -2 · Syksa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 2.00 / Syksa 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Syksa)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111152
Kurylenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Syksa1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 239 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it82% 161 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko5wins
AwaySyksa5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko100%3 of 3
AwaySyksa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Kurylenko7Syksa3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurylenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Kurylenko4Syksa4n = 8split evenly
S5Kurylenko2Syksa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoSyksaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.5+1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 999 vs 579 / 110349.5%52.5%494 / 999 vs 579 / 1103Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaKurylenko 2.00/Syksa 1.73
Miss
What we said
57.3%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 07:00O. Kurylenko—101180O. Syksa—1213113
WSep 7 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—11117123O. Syksa—7711101
WSep 4 · 07:30O. Kurylenko—116118113O. Syksa—41181182
LSep 2 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—81111862O. Syksa—119111113
WAug 27 · 11:00O. Kurylenko—811811133O. Syksa—119114112
WAug 24 · 07:30O. Kurylenko—111112113O. Syksa—791471
LAug 21 · 11:00O. Kurylenko—91111942O. Syksa—118911113
WAug 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—91111113O. Syksa—111471
LAug 17 · 09:00O. Kurylenko—7950O. Syksa—1111113
LAug 13 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—9114111O. Syksa—11511133
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062LSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113LSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180LSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.61611171O. Lyman2.2011116113LSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.61820111142O. Lyman2.201118134113WSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113LSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133
O. Syksa10
LSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191WSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko3.401146101O. Syksa1.3061111123WSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280WSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180WSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121LSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.91811174113O. Syksa1.80116151192WSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5713913123O. Ziakun2.25111111101LSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113
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