TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111612
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911311––––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 54 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 49–62 Dmitro Kuzmenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 49 of their 111 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:35What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-62 in 111
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 13 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1541 vs Kuzmenko 1553
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Kuzmenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Kuzmenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +3 · Kuzmenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.00 / Kuzmenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111612
Ziakun2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 89 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Kuzmenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 99 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwayKuzmenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun60%3 of 5
AwayKuzmenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun4Kuzmenko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.4−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 748 vs 377 / 91947.3%41%354 / 748 vs 377 / 919Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoZiakun 2.00/Kuzmenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 04:30O. Ziakun—115761D. Kuzmenko—71111113
LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun—7860D. Kuzmenko—1111113
WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun—111110113D. Kuzmenko—861251
WAug 28 · 06:00O. Ziakun—81111123D. Kuzmenko—1199101
LAug 25 · 06:30O. Ziakun—55120D. Kuzmenko—1111143
WAug 21 · 07:30O. Ziakun—13711123D. Kuzmenko—11116101
LAug 17 · 06:30O. Ziakun—8412121D. Kuzmenko—111110143
LAug 14 · 08:30O. Ziakun—111171032D. Kuzmenko—991112113
WAug 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun—111216113D. Kuzmenko—8141491
WAug 10 · 06:30O. Ziakun—12111212133D. Kuzmenko—1451014112
O. Ziakun10
WSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571511113O. Lyman2.2513970WSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191LSep 9 · 11:00S. Chuhai1.33111111113O. Ziakun3.25613771LSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5713913123O. Ziakun2.25111111101LSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251WSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761WSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151WSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.91610100D. Kuzmenko1.801112123WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161
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