TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111143
Played Sep 11Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
61110121012––––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 35–36 Dmitro Kuzmenko Serhii Maliuk has won 35 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-36 in 71
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1498 vs Kuzmenko 1544
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 80% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Maliuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 60% vs Kuzmenko 30%
Maliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +1 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 1.91 / Kuzmenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111143
Maliuk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Kuzmenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 99 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk3wins
AwayKuzmenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk50%2 of 4
AwayKuzmenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S2Maliuk0Kuzmenko10n = 10Kuzmenko took 10 of 10
S3Maliuk6Kuzmenko4n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Maliuk4Kuzmenko3n = 7Maliuk took 4 of 7
S5Maliuk2Kuzmenko3n = 5Kuzmenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukKuzmenkoM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.841.4−5.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 499 vs 376 / 91849.7%41%248 / 499 vs 376 / 918Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoMaliuk 1.91/Kuzmenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk—610100D. Kuzmenko—1112123
LSep 7 · 08:00S. Maliuk—9440D. Kuzmenko—1111113
LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk—11711462D. Kuzmenko—511511113
LSep 1 · 06:00S. Maliuk—119131D. Kuzmenko—91111113
WAug 27 · 09:30S. Maliuk—13911143D. Kuzmenko—11118121
LAug 25 · 11:30S. Maliuk—107121152D. Kuzmenko—1211103113
WAug 18 · 06:30S. Maliuk—671112113D. Kuzmenko—111191062
LAug 14 · 10:00S. Maliuk—105110D. Kuzmenko—1211133
LAug 6 · 05:00S. Maliuk—47111282D. Kuzmenko—1111710113
WAug 5 · 11:30S. Maliuk—116116113D. Kuzmenko—91161122
S. Maliuk10
WSep 11 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.501111113O. Lyman2.509650LSep 10 · 11:30O. Lyman2.50911117113S. Maliuk1.5011991182WSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861WSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113WSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko2.751139121S. Maliuk1.4091111143LSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121LSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113WSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861
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