TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121884
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131171141113111011
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-11
Point 102 set 5, 10-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 66.1%
102 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 71–111 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Syksa has won 71 of their 182 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:58What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-111 in 182
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 40 in 182, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1641 vs Hubenko 1656
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Hubenko 20%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 70% vs Hubenko 40%
Syksa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Hubenko -4
Hubenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 2.63 / Hubenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hubenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13121884
Syksa2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 55 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 102
Hubenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 235 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 117 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa2wins
AwayHubenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa33.3%1 of 3
AwayHubenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Syksa5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Syksa3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S4Syksa2Hubenko5n = 7Hubenko took 5 of 7
S5Syksa1Hubenko2n = 3Hubenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaHubenkoS − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.941.5−6.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1098 vs 551 / 103952.5%53%576 / 1098 vs 551 / 1039Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoSyksa 2.63/Hubenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 05:00O. Syksa331111113M. Hubenko177640
LSep 6 · 05:00O. Syksa336115111M. Hubenko4411911133
LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa32611691M. Hubenko3911611113
WSep 2 · 05:00O. Syksa561014129113M. Hubenko541212101192
LAug 31 · 05:30O. Syksa4011861142M. Hubenko47711117113
LAug 28 · 11:00O. Syksa311051331M. Hubenko45121111113
LAug 26 · 11:30O. Syksa2581160M. Hubenko351113113
LAug 21 · 08:30O. Syksa135440M. Hubenko331111113
LAug 20 · 11:30O. Syksa4211571182M. Hubenko50911118113
LAug 17 · 10:30O. Syksa4416115121M. Hubenko5118811143
O. Syksa10
LSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111WSep 11 · 10:00O. Lyman4.501196101O. Syksa1.1771111123WSep 11 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.101281111102O. Syksa1.671011713123LSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191WSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko3.401146101O. Syksa1.3061111123WSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280WSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180WSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121
M. Hubenko10
LSep 11 · 16:30M. Hubenko2.753220R. Ivanov1.401111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Hubenko3.2591280A. Kasyanov1.331114113LSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko2.1513163143A. Lushchyk1.62111411121LSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123
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