TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122150
Played Sep 13Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11561111671197
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-7
Point 84 set 5, 9-7 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 63.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 17–29 Maksym Hubenko Andrii Vasylets has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-29 in 46
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1585 vs Hubenko 1667
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 60% vs Hubenko 20%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 30% vs Hubenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets -1 · Hubenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.50 / Hubenko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Hubenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122150
Vasylets2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 53 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back20% 21 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 65
Hubenko1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 235 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 117 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayHubenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets100%4 of 4
AwayHubenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Vasylets2Hubenko8n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Vasylets6Hubenko4n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S4Vasylets3Hubenko4n = 7Hubenko took 4 of 7
S5Vasylets3Hubenko0n = 3Vasylets took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsHubenkoV − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.2−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 522 vs 552 / 104044.8%53.1%234 / 522 vs 552 / 1040Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoVasylets 2.50/Hubenko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets29651171M. Hubenko4011118103
LSep 2 · 09:30A. Vasylets28108100M. Hubenko351211123
WAug 30 · 12:00A. Vasylets46115127113M. Hubenko49911101182
WAug 26 · 08:00A. Vasylets341111123M. Hubenko1853100
LAug 19 · 07:00A. Vasylets371011791M. Hubenko4312911113
LAug 16 · 15:30A. Vasylets27191161M. Hubenko4211119113
WAug 12 · 09:00A. Vasylets521271111113M. Hubenko4614118672
WAug 8 · 13:30A. Vasylets46115711123M. Hubenko43311118102
WJul 30 · 16:00A. Vasylets45121111113M. Hubenko331013641
LJul 18 · 17:03A. Vasylets237880M. Hubenko331111113
A. Vasylets10
LSep 13 · 13:00A. Vasylets2.50771181S. Aristarkhov1.5011115103WSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.91811174113O. Syksa1.80116151192WSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123
M. Hubenko10
WSep 13 · 12:30O. Syksa2.63137413102M. Hubenko1.4411111111113LSep 11 · 16:30M. Hubenko2.753220R. Ivanov1.401111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Hubenko3.2591280A. Kasyanov1.331114113LSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko2.1513163143A. Lushchyk1.62111411121LSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103
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