TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121004
Played Sep 12Finished
Ludek Stoces
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131715117––––
Ondrej Chadima
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLudek Stoces above · Ondrej Chadima below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 64 set 3, 11-7
64 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Stoces 1–2 Ondrej Chadima Ludek Stoces has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chadima beat Stoces 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chadima)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chadima form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoces 1.95 / Chadima 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chadima)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #13121004
Stoces1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 21 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Chadima1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStoces1wins
AwayChadima2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderChadima leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stoces2Chadima1n = 3Stoces took 2 of 3
S2Stoces2Chadima1n = 3Stoces took 2 of 3
S3Stoces1Chadima2n = 3Chadima took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStocesChadimaS − CBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.036.3+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStocesChadimaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 202 vs 299 / 58843.1%50.9%87 / 202 vs 299 / 588Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChadimaStoces 1.95/Chadima 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chadima · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stoces won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 12 · 14:15L. Stoces36139681O. Chadima44111111113
LAug 29 · 13:45L. Stoces45121151162O. Chadima4714511983
WMar 15 · 12:30L. Stoces331111113O. Chadima185760
L. Stoces10
LSep 12 · 15:45L. Stoces1.837570V. Lopata1.831111113LSep 12 · 14:15O. Chadima2.10111111113L. Stoces1.67139681LSep 12 · 13:45V. Herrmann1.9161113113L. Stoces1.801181171WSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 20:34L. Kolman1.5711811113L. Stoces2.25511781LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192
O. Chadima10
LSep 12 · 15:15O. Chadima1.8312460V. Herrmann1.831411113WSep 12 · 14:15O. Chadima2.10111111113L. Stoces1.67139681LSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892LSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113WSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102LSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.