TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116838
Played Sep 12Finished
Ondrej Chadima
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119116118––
Ludek Stoces
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLudek Stoces to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Chadima above · Ludek Stoces below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ludek Stoces at 55.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Chadima 1–1 Ludek Stoces Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stoces
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chadima 1532 vs Stoces 1573
Stoces
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chadima 40% vs Stoces 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chadima 40% vs Stoces 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chadima -2 · Stoces +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stoces)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoces form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChadima 2.10 / Stoces 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Stoces)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116838
Chadima2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Stoces1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 18 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it39% 7 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChadima1wins
AwayStoces1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricChadimaStocesC − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.539.0−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChadimaStocesBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 586 vs 88 / 20350.9%43.4%298 / 586 vs 88 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StocesChadima 2.10/Stoces 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Stoces · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chadima won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 13:45O. Chadima4714511983L. Stoces45121151162
LMar 15 · 12:30O. Chadima185760L. Stoces331111113
O. Chadima10
LSep 12 · 16:16L. Stoces1.951152O. Chadima1.75340LSep 12 · 15:15O. Chadima1.8312460V. Herrmann1.831411113LSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892LSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113WSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102LSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113
L. Stoces10
WSep 12 · 16:16L. Stoces1.951152O. Chadima1.75340LSep 12 · 15:45L. Stoces1.837570V. Lopata1.831111113LSep 12 · 13:45V. Herrmann1.9161113113L. Stoces1.801181171WSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 20:34L. Kolman1.5711811113L. Stoces2.25511781LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.