TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119933
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811119711118
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:03 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 23–17 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-17 in 40
Dosz
Correct
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1952 vs Jadczyk 1882
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 20% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 50% vs Jadczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -3 · Jadczyk +1
Dosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.73 / Jadczyk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Dosz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13119933
Dosz1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Jadczyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 108 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz6wins
AwayJadczyk4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz100%5 of 5
AwayJadczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Dosz6Jadczyk4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz7Jadczyk3n = 10Dosz took 7 of 10
S4Dosz3Jadczyk5n = 8Jadczyk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszJadczykD − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.737.0+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 320 vs 985 / 168057.8%58.6%185 / 320 vs 985 / 1680Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.73/Jadczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 11:40A. Dosz4081110111M. Jadczyk4511912133
WSep 4 · 04:30A. Dosz4111811113M. Jadczyk34811871
WSep 3 · 07:45A. Dosz341112113M. Jadczyk2671090
WAug 28 · 13:20A. Dosz48711118113M. Jadczyk4111671162
LAug 28 · 07:45A. Dosz341051181M. Jadczyk4212118113
WAug 23 · 07:45A. Dosz4111118113M. Jadczyk24621151
LMay 3 · 14:05A. Dosz34811781M. Jadczyk3711411113
WMay 3 · 04:40A. Dosz4315611113M. Jadczyk421311991
WMar 23 · 12:35A. Dosz331111113M. Jadczyk269890
LMar 23 · 06:25A. Dosz49111215111M. Jadczyk53131413133
A. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113LSep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.36116101182G. Adamiak3.00611127113LSep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73118561K. Petas2.0091111113WSep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.7311811113K. Petas2.00911941LSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 13 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.75711771M. Jadczyk1.4011511113WSep 13 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.8311119113S. Dosz1.83871161LSep 13 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.67111011872K. Petas2.10812911113WSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.9111881272M. Jadczyk1.807111110113LSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181LSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113WSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351WSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113
Upcoming Matches
A. Dosz
M. Jadczyk
Nothing scheduled
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