TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119908
Played Sep 13Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117911116––
Slawomir Dosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 15–17 Slawomir Dosz Marcin Jadczyk has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:53What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1863 vs Dosz 1821
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 40% vs Dosz 20%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 50% vs Dosz 30%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk -1 · Dosz -3
Dosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.83 / Dosz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadczyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13119908
Jadczyk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dosz1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk5wins
AwayDosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk80%4 of 5
AwayDosz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadczyk7Dosz3n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S3Jadczyk5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadczyk3Dosz4n = 7Dosz took 4 of 7
S5Jadczyk1Dosz2n = 3Dosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykDoszJ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.937.1+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime985 / 1680 vs 65 / 15258.6%42.8%985 / 1680 vs 65 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykJadczyk 1.83/Dosz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 03:45M. Jadczyk4511911682S. Dosz39411211113
WOct 5 · 12:00M. Jadczyk331111113S. Dosz217860
LOct 5 · 05:50M. Jadczyk33811681S. Dosz4011711113
WOct 4 · 10:45M. Jadczyk561311610163S. Dosz551171112142
WOct 4 · 07:15M. Jadczyk4181111113S. Dosz31117761
LSep 14 · 12:00M. Jadczyk4561381172S. Dosz521111118113
LSep 14 · 08:50M. Jadczyk31861161S. Dosz4211119113
WSep 13 · 13:15M. Jadczyk4011117113S. Dosz34881171
WSep 13 · 08:50M. Jadczyk331111113S. Dosz249780
LSep 12 · 10:45M. Jadczyk228860S. Dosz331111113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 13 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.67111011872K. Petas2.10812911113WSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.9111881272M. Jadczyk1.807111110113LSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181LSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113WSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351WSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113WSep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0010111181M. Jadczyk1.7312135113LSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113
S. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:20G. Adamiak3.008111211113S. Dosz1.3611914692LSep 13 · 07:45A. Witkowski1.5711511113S. Dosz2.25911961WSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00111191172S. Dosz1.36136117113LSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133LSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762
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