TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13119648
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711113411411
Serhii Ponomarenko
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 84 set 5, 4-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 5–96 Serhii Ponomarenko Dmytro Kryshtal has won 5 of their 101 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Ponomarenko beat Kryshtal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 7.00 / Ponomarenko 1.08
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+3.4pp
Setka Cup · #13119648
Kryshtal7.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 86 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back12% 22 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 129
Ponomarenko1.08
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite88% won 302 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it100% 197 of 198
Up 1–0, closes it95% 250 of 263
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal0wins
AwayPonomarenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPonomarenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal1Ponomarenko9n = 10Ponomarenko took 9 of 10
S2Kryshtal2Ponomarenko8n = 10Ponomarenko took 8 of 10
S3Kryshtal3Ponomarenko7n = 10Ponomarenko took 7 of 10
S4Kryshtal0Ponomarenko5n = 5Ponomarenko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalPonomarenkoK − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match26.537.7−11.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 752 vs 790 / 87643.5%90.2%327 / 752 vs 790 / 876Avg sets wonper match1.92.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoKryshtal 7.00/Ponomarenko 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 29 · 14:00D. Kryshtal—5570S. Ponomarenko—1111113
LJul 28 · 10:38D. Kryshtal—11670S. Ponomarenko—1311113
LJul 28 · 08:00D. Kryshtal—7870S. Ponomarenko—1111113
LJul 27 · 17:29D. Kryshtal—11811962S. Ponomarenko—911811113
LJul 27 · 14:00D. Kryshtal—911551S. Ponomarenko—11811113
LJul 24 · 08:00D. Kryshtal—211771S. Ponomarenko—11611113
LJul 23 · 13:00D. Kryshtal—1141161S. Ponomarenko—13119113
LJul 22 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—78100S. Ponomarenko—1111123
LJul 21 · 17:29D. Kryshtal—631181S. Ponomarenko—11112113
LJul 21 · 15:00D. Kryshtal—7350S. Ponomarenko—1111113
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 12 · 09:30S. Ponomarenko1.0311711113D. Kryshtal10.00911791WSep 12 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113S. Kushnirenko2.108670LSep 12 · 06:30D. Kryshtal2.63117861R. Horokh1.4451111113WSep 12 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.501111113V. Komar2.505650WSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182LSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113WSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113LSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113WSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113
S. Ponomarenko10
WSep 12 · 09:30S. Ponomarenko1.0311711113D. Kryshtal10.00911791WSep 12 · 08:30S. Ponomarenko1.1711911113R. Horokh4.50811861WSep 12 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko1.0311114113S. Kushnirenko10.00631141WSep 12 · 06:00S. Ponomarenko1.051111113V. Komar8.504770WSep 9 · 17:29S. Ponomarenko1.20118711113R. Horokh4.3361111872WSep 9 · 16:00V. Komar8.505131061S. Ponomarenko1.05111112113WSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113WSep 9 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko10.005660S. Ponomarenko1.031111113WSep 9 · 12:00R. Horokh4.50761181S. Ponomarenko1.1711116113WSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.