TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105313
Played Sep 9Finished
Vadim Komar
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711411––––
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVadim Komar above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Komar 29–39 Dmytro Kryshtal Vadim Komar has won 29 of their 68 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Komar beat Kryshtal 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomar 2.50 / Kryshtal 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105313
Komar2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 54 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Kryshtal1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 153 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 118 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomar4wins
AwayKryshtal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomar50%2 of 4
AwayKryshtal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komar4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S2Komar5Kryshtal5n = 10split evenly
S3Komar5Kryshtal5n = 10split evenly
S4Komar3Kryshtal5n = 8Kryshtal took 5 of 8
S5Komar2Kryshtal1n = 3Komar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomarKryshtalKomar − KryshtalBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.440.0−3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomarKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 618 vs 322 / 74238.5%43.4%238 / 618 vs 322 / 742Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKomar 2.50/Kryshtal 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:30V. Komar—511511113D. Kryshtal—11811692
WSep 8 · 12:30V. Komar—1013612113D. Kryshtal—1211111052
LAug 29 · 05:00V. Komar—581121D. Kryshtal—11118113
WAug 28 · 17:19V. Komar—1111113D. Kryshtal—8760
LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar—1151011112D. Kryshtal—911125133
LAug 26 · 05:00V. Komar—115761D. Kryshtal—91111113
LAug 25 · 17:01V. Komar—571151D. Kryshtal—11117113
WAug 25 · 12:30V. Komar—1116123D. Kryshtal—414100
LAug 23 · 05:00V. Komar—411981D. Kryshtal—11911113
LAug 22 · 16:30V. Komar—4111181D. Kryshtal—11137113
V. Komar10
LSep 9 · 16:00V. Komar8.505131061S. Ponomarenko1.05111112113LSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh1.57791111113V. Komar2.2511117772WSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.1081151362V. Komar1.671161111113WSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Komar2.25138771R. Horokh1.57111111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Kiilo3.25611118123V. Komar1.33116911102LSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.20811712113V. Komar1.61118111072WSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113WSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571WSep 8 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.10121111362D. Kryshtal1.67149911113LSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.