TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116889
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Serhii Kushnirenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Kushnirenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 56.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 57–41 Serhii Kushnirenko Serhii Kushnirenko has won 41 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-41 in 98
Kryshtal
Correct
gap of 16 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1878 vs Kushnirenko 1891
Kushnirenko
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Kushnirenko 60%
Kushnirenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 50% vs Kushnirenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal -1 · Kushnirenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.67 / Kushnirenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116889
Kryshtal1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 154 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it76% 120 of 159
Kushnirenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 129 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayKushnirenko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal85.7%6 of 7
AwayKushnirenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal7Kushnirenko3n = 10Kryshtal took 7 of 10
S2Kryshtal6Kushnirenko4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal4Kushnirenko6n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Kushnirenko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoKryshtal − KushnirenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.3+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 750 vs 321 / 77543.5%41.4%326 / 750 vs 321 / 775Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.67/Kushnirenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—111113101S. Kushnirenko—13815123
WSep 9 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Kushnirenko—9690
WSep 8 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—149911113S. Kushnirenko—121111362
WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—11119153S. Kushnirenko—8611131
LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—7111091S. Kushnirenko—11812113
WAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal—11118113S. Kushnirenko—571191
WAug 26 · 09:30D. Kryshtal—111311113S. Kushnirenko—915961
LAug 25 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—115891S. Kushnirenko—51111113
LAug 23 · 10:29D. Kryshtal—771151S. Kushnirenko—11116113
WAug 23 · 09:30D. Kryshtal—1211113S. Kushnirenko—10550
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 12 · 06:30D. Kryshtal2.63117861R. Horokh1.4451111113WSep 12 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.501111113V. Komar2.505650WSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182LSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113WSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113LSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113WSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113WSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 12 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko1.0311114113S. Kushnirenko10.00631141WSep 12 · 05:30R. Horokh1.506111081S. Kushnirenko2.5011712113LSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182WSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50141011113R. Horokh1.501212781WSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113LSep 11 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3.40611731S. Balabei1.3011711113WSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381LSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.1081151362V. Komar1.671161111113
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