TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111322
Played Sep 11Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711711112811
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 84 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 63.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 87–61 Dmytro Kryshtal Dmytro Kryshtal has won 61 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Horokh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-61 in 148
Horokh
Wrong
gap of 26 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1983 vs Kryshtal 1882
Horokh
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 60% vs Kryshtal 40%
Horokh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 50% vs Kryshtal 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh +1 · Kryshtal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.50 / Kryshtal 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Horokh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111322
Horokh1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 294 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 226 of 279
Kryshtal2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog29% won 85 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back11% 21 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh4wins
AwayKryshtal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh60%3 of 5
AwayKryshtal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh5Kryshtal5n = 10split evenly
S2Horokh6Kryshtal4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Horokh5Kryshtal5n = 10split evenly
S4Horokh5Kryshtal4n = 9Horokh took 5 of 9
S5Horokh0Kryshtal3n = 3Kryshtal took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKryshtalH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.343.1−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime700 / 1245 vs 323 / 74456.2%43.4%700 / 1245 vs 323 / 744Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.50/Kryshtal 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:03R. Horokh—16811792D. Kryshtal—1411911113
WAug 29 · 07:30R. Horokh—111510113D. Kryshtal—6131291
WAug 28 · 13:30R. Horokh—1111113D. Kryshtal—8790
WAug 26 · 06:30R. Horokh—111013113D. Kryshtal—9121171
LAug 25 · 14:30R. Horokh—511511102D. Kryshtal—119118123
LAug 23 · 06:30R. Horokh—711881D. Kryshtal—11911113
LAug 21 · 14:30R. Horokh—1311101172D. Kryshtal—155127113
WAug 20 · 08:00R. Horokh—51122113D. Kryshtal—1162091
LAug 19 · 12:00R. Horokh—9811121D. Kryshtal—11117143
LAug 18 · 16:00R. Horokh—118471D. Kryshtal—71111113
R. Horokh10
WSep 11 · 12:00R. Horokh1.801111113S. Balabei1.919750LSep 9 · 17:29S. Ponomarenko1.20118711113R. Horokh4.3361111872LSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381WSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh1.57791111113V. Komar2.2511117772WSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:00R. Horokh4.50761181S. Ponomarenko1.1711116113LSep 8 · 17:29R. Horokh1.405890S. Kushnirenko2.751111113WSep 8 · 16:00V. Komar2.25138771R. Horokh1.57111111113WSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113LSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113WSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113WSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113WSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571WSep 8 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.10121111362D. Kryshtal1.67149911113LSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113
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