TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111301
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911811911––
Vadim Komar
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 60.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 40–29 Vadim Komar Vadim Komar has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kryshtal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-29 in 69
Kryshtal
Wrong
gap of 11 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1897 vs Komar 1809
Kryshtal
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Komar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 50% vs Komar 30%
Kryshtal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal +2 · Komar -3
Komar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.57 / Komar 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kryshtal)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111301
Kryshtal1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 153 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it75% 119 of 158
Komar2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayKomar4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal66.7%4 of 6
AwayKomar50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal6Komar4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S2Kryshtal5Komar5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryshtal6Komar4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Komar3n = 7Kryshtal took 4 of 7
S5Kryshtal1Komar2n = 3Komar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKomarKryshtal − KomarBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.5+4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 743 vs 238 / 61943.5%38.5%323 / 743 vs 238 / 619Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.57/Komar 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Komar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 16:58D. Kryshtal—1111113V. Komar—4740
LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—11811692V. Komar—511511113
LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—1211111052V. Komar—1013612113
WAug 29 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11118113V. Komar—581121
LAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal—8760V. Komar—1111113
WAug 28 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—911125133V. Komar—1151011112
WAug 26 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—91111113V. Komar—115761
WAug 25 · 17:01D. Kryshtal—11117113V. Komar—571151
LAug 25 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—414100V. Komar—1116123
WAug 23 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11911113V. Komar—411981
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113WSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113WSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113WSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571WSep 8 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.10121111362D. Kryshtal1.67149911113LSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113
V. Komar10
LSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113LSep 9 · 16:00V. Komar8.505131061S. Ponomarenko1.05111112113LSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh1.57791111113V. Komar2.2511117772WSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.1081151362V. Komar1.671161111113WSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Komar2.25138771R. Horokh1.57111111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Kiilo3.25611118123V. Komar1.33116911102LSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.20811712113V. Komar1.61118111072WSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102
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