TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117528
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116115––––
Vadim Komar
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 59.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 40–29 Vadim Komar Vadim Komar has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 17h before this match
Komar beat Kryshtal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-29 in 69
Kryshtal
Correct
gap of 11 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1875 vs Komar 1858
Kryshtal
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Komar 80%
Komar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Komar 60%
Komar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal +1 · Komar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kryshtal) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.50 / Komar 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117528
Kryshtal1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 154 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it76% 120 of 159
Komar2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayKomar4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal66.7%4 of 6
AwayKomar50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal6Komar4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S2Kryshtal5Komar5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryshtal6Komar4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Komar3n = 7Kryshtal took 4 of 7
S5Kryshtal1Komar2n = 3Komar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKomarKryshtal − KomarBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.5+4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 748 vs 242 / 62443.5%38.8%325 / 748 vs 242 / 624Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.50/Komar 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 16:58D. Kryshtal—1111113V. Komar—4740
LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—11811692V. Komar—511511113
LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—1211111052V. Komar—1013612113
WAug 29 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11118113V. Komar—581121
LAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal—8760V. Komar—1111113
WAug 28 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—911125133V. Komar—1151011112
WAug 26 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—91111113V. Komar—115761
WAug 25 · 17:01D. Kryshtal—11117113V. Komar—571151
LAug 25 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—414100V. Komar—1116123
WAug 23 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11911113V. Komar—411981
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182LSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113WSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113LSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113WSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113WSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113
V. Komar10
LSep 11 · 17:02S. Balabei1.361112411163V. Komar3.00314119142WSep 11 · 16:00V. Komar2.00118116123S. Balabei1.73811211102WSep 11 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5312116101V. Komar2.3814911123WSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113WSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113LSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113LSep 9 · 16:00V. Komar8.505131061S. Ponomarenko1.05111112113LSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh1.57791111113V. Komar2.2511117772WSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.1081151362V. Komar1.671161111113WSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.