TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116168
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151214113811118
Serhii Kushnirenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Kushnirenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8
94 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 57–41 Serhii Kushnirenko Serhii Kushnirenko has won 41 of their 98 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kushnirenko beat Kryshtal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.61 / Kushnirenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116168
Kryshtal1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 153 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it75% 119 of 158
Kushnirenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 127 of 383
Down 0–1, comes back19% 43 of 233
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayKushnirenko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal85.7%6 of 7
AwayKushnirenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal7Kushnirenko3n = 10Kryshtal took 7 of 10
S2Kryshtal6Kushnirenko4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal4Kushnirenko6n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Kushnirenko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoKryshtal − KushnirenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.3+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 747 vs 320 / 77343.4%41.4%324 / 747 vs 320 / 773Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.61/Kushnirenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—111113101S. Kushnirenko—13815123
WSep 9 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Kushnirenko—9690
WSep 8 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—149911113S. Kushnirenko—121111362
WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—11119153S. Kushnirenko—8611131
LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—7111091S. Kushnirenko—11812113
WAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal—11118113S. Kushnirenko—571191
WAug 26 · 09:30D. Kryshtal—111311113S. Kushnirenko—915961
LAug 25 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—115891S. Kushnirenko—51111113
LAug 23 · 10:29D. Kryshtal—771151S. Kushnirenko—11116113
WAug 23 · 09:30D. Kryshtal—1211113S. Kushnirenko—10550
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113WSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113LSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113WSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113WSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:30D. Kryshtal9.0011711172S. Ponomarenko1.04911115113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113WSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50141011113R. Horokh1.501212781WSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113LSep 11 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3.40611731S. Balabei1.3011711113WSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381LSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113LSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.1081151362V. Komar1.671161111113LSep 9 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko10.005660S. Ponomarenko1.031111113WSep 8 · 17:29R. Horokh1.405890S. Kushnirenko2.751111113WSep 8 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko1.361111113S. Kiilo3.003690
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.