TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111076
Played Sep 11Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12141196111012––
Vadim Komar
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 85 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Roman Horokh at 65.2%
85 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 155–75 Vadim Komar Vadim Komar has won 75 of their 230 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Horokh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
155-75 in 230
Horokh
Wrong
gap of 80 in 230, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1968 vs Komar 1836
Horokh
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 40% vs Komar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 50% vs Komar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh -1 · Komar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.53 / Komar 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Horokh)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111076
Horokh1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 294 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 226 of 279
Komar2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh5wins
AwayKomar5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh71.4%5 of 7
AwayKomar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh7Komar3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Horokh6Komar4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Horokh5Komar5n = 10split evenly
S4Horokh4Komar5n = 9Komar took 5 of 9
S5Horokh1Komar3n = 4Komar took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKomarH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.0+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime699 / 1245 vs 240 / 62156.1%38.7%699 / 1245 vs 240 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.53/Komar 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Komar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:30R. Horokh—11115163V. Komar—9611141
WAug 28 · 16:30R. Horokh—118126113V. Komar—611101192
WAug 26 · 07:30R. Horokh—11713113V. Komar—3111181
WAug 25 · 16:00R. Horokh—11114113V. Komar—891171
LAug 23 · 10:00R. Horokh—711551V. Komar—11711113
WAug 23 · 07:30R. Horokh—1111113V. Komar—9530
LAug 20 · 09:00R. Horokh—61191162V. Komar—117119113
LAug 19 · 13:00R. Horokh—119561V. Komar—31111113
LAug 13 · 09:00R. Horokh—101211852V. Komar—1210711113
LAug 12 · 13:00R. Horokh—117118112V. Komar—311411133
R. Horokh10
LSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113WSep 11 · 12:00R. Horokh1.801111113S. Balabei1.919750LSep 9 · 17:29S. Ponomarenko1.20118711113R. Horokh4.3361111872LSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381WSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh1.57791111113V. Komar2.2511117772WSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh1.50111114113D. Kryshtal2.50971671LSep 9 · 12:00R. Horokh4.50761181S. Ponomarenko1.1711116113LSep 8 · 17:29R. Horokh1.405890S. Kushnirenko2.751111113WSep 8 · 16:00V. Komar2.25138771R. Horokh1.57111111113WSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113
V. Komar10
WSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113WSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113LSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113LSep 9 · 16:00V. Komar8.505131061S. Ponomarenko1.05111112113LSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh1.57791111113V. Komar2.2511117772WSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.1081151362V. Komar1.671161111113WSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Komar2.25138771R. Horokh1.57111111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Kiilo3.25611118123V. Komar1.33116911102LSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.20811712113V. Komar1.61118111072
Upcoming Matches
R. Horokh
V. Komar
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