TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118425
Played Sep 12Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11412107111210––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:33 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 68.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 75–144 Yevhen Masko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 75 of their 219 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-144 in 219
Masko
Wrong
gap of 69 in 219, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1631 vs Masko 1663
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 40% vs Masko 20%
Pismenniy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 40% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -2 · Masko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 2.63 / Masko 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13118425
Pismenniy2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 62 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Masko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 140 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 113 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy3wins
AwayMasko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniy66.7%2 of 3
AwayMasko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Pismenniy2Masko8n = 10Masko took 8 of 10
S3Pismenniy4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Pismenniy5Masko3n = 8Pismenniy took 5 of 8
S5Pismenniy2Masko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyMaskoP − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.943.1−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 712 vs 429 / 75230.1%57.1%214 / 712 vs 429 / 752Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoPismenniy 2.63/Masko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pismenniy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 13:55E. Pismenniy391013971Y. Masko44121111103
LSep 5 · 01:25E. Pismenniy30571171Y. Masko4111118113
WAug 29 · 19:55E. Pismenniy55911618113Y. Masko52115111692
LAug 29 · 02:55E. Pismenniy2781090Y. Masko341112113
WAug 23 · 16:55E. Pismenniy541171111143Y. Masko50711137122
LAug 22 · 14:55E. Pismenniy46591111102Y. Masko47111158123
LAug 21 · 23:25E. Pismenniy29114861Y. Masko4181111113
LAug 15 · 17:55E. Pismenniy43107111142Y. Masko49121196113
LAug 14 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3089130Y. Masko371111153
WAug 9 · 17:55E. Pismenniy4611914123Y. Masko3631112101
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 12 · 16:25E. Pismenniy2.6311711372R. Cherevko1.44811911113LSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572WSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691LSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981LSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 22:25V. Melnik1.44134111142E. Pismenniy2.63151159113WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992
Y. Masko10
LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113
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