TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117456
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811611––––
Alexander Tuzhylin
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Alexander Tuzhylin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 68.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 71–139 Alexander Tuzhylin Yevhen Masko has won 71 of their 210 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-139 in 210
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 68 in 210, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1681 vs Tuzhylin 1859
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 40% vs Tuzhylin 80%
Tuzhylin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Tuzhylin 80%
Tuzhylin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +1 · Tuzhylin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 3.00 / Tuzhylin 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117456
Masko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Tuzhylin1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 197 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it89% 145 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko2wins
AwayTuzhylin8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko33.3%2 of 6
AwayTuzhylin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko6Tuzhylin4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Masko2Tuzhylin8n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S3Masko2Tuzhylin8n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S4Masko0Tuzhylin5n = 5Tuzhylin took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoTuzhylinM − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.738.8−7.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 751 vs 501 / 65957.1%76%429 / 751 vs 501 / 659Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinMasko 3.00/Tuzhylin 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:25Y. Masko3811107101A. Tuzhylin4491211123
WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin248880
LAug 28 · 23:25Y. Masko31119741A. Tuzhylin4291111113
LAug 22 · 24:25Y. Masko4614611962A. Tuzhylin501211511113
LAug 15 · 14:55Y. Masko2361070A. Tuzhylin341112113
LAug 15 · 24:25Y. Masko33118861A. Tuzhylin4291111113
LAug 9 · 16:55Y. Masko239860A. Tuzhylin331111113
LAug 8 · 20:25Y. Masko187650A. Tuzhylin331111113
WAug 8 · 01:25Y. Masko511411510113A. Tuzhylin52129111282
LAug 2 · 16:55Y. Masko2110470A. Tuzhylin341211113
Y. Masko10
WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:55V. Melnik2.106720A. Tuzhylin1.67111153LSep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40910100R. Cherevko2.751112123WSep 12 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.57101311143V. Melnik2.2512117121WSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981WSep 11 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.1091111113R. Reznychenko6.50115791LSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113WSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160WSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191
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