TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117520
Played Sep 12Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711119311711
Roman Cherevko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Cherevko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Roman Cherevko at 70.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 68–161 Roman Cherevko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 68 of their 229 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cherevko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-161 in 229
Cherevko
Correct
gap of 93 in 229, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1636 vs Cherevko 1691
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 40% vs Cherevko 60%
Cherevko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 50% vs Cherevko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -1 · Cherevko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cherevko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 2.63 / Cherevko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Cherevko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117520
Pismenniy2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 62 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Cherevko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 96 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 65 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy2wins
AwayCherevko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCherevko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniy25%1 of 4
AwayCherevko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy4Cherevko6n = 10Cherevko took 6 of 10
S2Pismenniy6Cherevko4n = 10Pismenniy took 6 of 10
S3Pismenniy2Cherevko8n = 10Cherevko took 8 of 10
S4Pismenniy2Cherevko5n = 7Cherevko took 5 of 7
S5Pismenniy1Cherevko3n = 4Cherevko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyCherevkoP − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.1−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 711 vs 382 / 74430.1%51.3%214 / 711 vs 382 / 744Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CherevkoPismenniy 2.63/Cherevko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Cherevko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy43511511113R. Cherevko3911611652
LSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy33711691R. Cherevko3811511113
LSep 4 · 21:55E. Pismenniy4212113792R. Cherevko521091111113
LAug 29 · 16:55E. Pismenniy56111289162R. Cherevko599101111183
LAug 28 · 22:55E. Pismenniy371091171R. Cherevko3812114113
LAug 23 · 14:25E. Pismenniy1751020R. Cherevko341112113
LAug 22 · 16:55E. Pismenniy46111061272R. Cherevko506121110113
WAug 22 · 01:25E. Pismenniy331111113R. Cherevko206590
LAug 15 · 14:25E. Pismenniy237790R. Cherevko331111113
LAug 15 · 01:25E. Pismenniy27211951R. Cherevko3811511113
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572WSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691LSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981LSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 22:25V. Melnik1.44134111142E. Pismenniy2.63151159113WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652
R. Cherevko10
LSep 12 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.6180R. Reznychenko2.20111WSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113WSep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40910100R. Cherevko2.751112123WSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113LSep 11 · 23:55R. Cherevko1.808990V. Melnik1.911111113WSep 11 · 21:55R. Cherevko1.5710121111113R. Reznychenko2.2512146982WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652
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