TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116808
Played Sep 12Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131161210––––
Oleh Napirko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Napirko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 53 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Oleh Napirko at 54.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 33–33 Oleh Napirko Dead even across their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Napirko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-33 in 66
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1464 vs Napirko 1590
Napirko
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Napirko 80%
Napirko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 40% vs Napirko 60%
Napirko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -1 · Napirko +4
Napirko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Napirko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Napirko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.00 / Napirko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Napirko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116808
Shypilov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 185 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back28% 60 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 111
Napirko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 72 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 60 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayNapirko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNapirko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov60%3 of 5
AwayNapirko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov5Napirko5n = 10split evenly
S2Shypilov2Napirko8n = 10Napirko took 8 of 10
S3Shypilov8Napirko2n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S4Shypilov2Napirko6n = 8Napirko took 6 of 8
S5Shypilov2Napirko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovNapirkoS − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.9−4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 789 vs 438 / 87045.6%50.3%360 / 789 vs 438 / 870Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NapirkoShypilov 2.00/Napirko 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Napirko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov28741251O. Napirko43111110113
LAug 27 · 24:45A. Shypilov3611511272O. Napirko50911811113
WAug 22 · 18:35A. Shypilov45119113113O. Napirko4571191172
LAug 19 · 23:45A. Shypilov219840O. Napirko331111113
WAug 14 · 24:45A. Shypilov4051112123O. Napirko4011910101
WAug 9 · 09:35A. Shypilov5715101110113O. Napirko48131261252
LAug 5 · 02:15A. Shypilov32861171O. Napirko4011117113
WAug 3 · 22:45A. Shypilov341112113O. Napirko2361070
LJul 30 · 22:45A. Shypilov30114781O. Napirko4181111113
LJul 29 · 24:45A. Shypilov4396111162O. Napirko46111158113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 12 · 02:00V. Vlasenko1.67811118113A. Shypilov2.1011971152WSep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00111113113S. Kalenyk1.73581551LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123
O. Napirko10
WSep 12 · 14:05O. Napirko1.83111011113M. Smyrnov1.83312751WSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940WSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:45O. Napirko1.731111113M. Smyrnov2.005660WSep 8 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10851161O. Napirko1.6711117113LSep 8 · 21:15O. Napirko1.831110571S. Kalenyk1.8361211113WSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113
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