TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111606
Played Sep 12Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156119111171113
Oleksii Mitla
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 95 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 47–61 Oleksii Mitla Anton Shypilov has won 47 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mitla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-61 in 108
Mitla
Correct
gap of 14 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1471 vs Mitla 1467
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 60% vs Mitla 40%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 40% vs Mitla 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -1 · Mitla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.83 / Mitla 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitla)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111606
Shypilov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Mitla1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayMitla6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov100%4 of 4
AwayMitla100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov4Mitla6n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov6Mitla4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S4Shypilov3Mitla7n = 10Mitla took 7 of 10
S5Shypilov2Mitla2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovMitlaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.541.6+0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 786 vs 334 / 76745.7%43.6%359 / 786 vs 334 / 767Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaShypilov 1.83/Mitla 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov—91410101O. Mitla—111212123
WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov—11128113O. Mitla—4101121
LSep 3 · 03:15A. Shypilov—8111151O. Mitla—11913113
WSep 2 · 24:45A. Shypilov—118117123O. Mitla—711811102
WAug 29 · 19:05A. Shypilov—11119113O. Mitla—271151
LAug 28 · 21:00A. Shypilov—8111191O. Mitla—11132113
LAug 26 · 23:45A. Shypilov—59111172O. Mitla—111186113
LAug 22 · 16:05A. Shypilov—811111282O. Mitla—118614113
WAug 19 · 20:45A. Shypilov—1171110113O. Mitla—91181282
LAug 14 · 02:45A. Shypilov—8112111O. Mitla—11911133
A. Shypilov10
LSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362
O. Mitla10
LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kalenyk1.57111312113O. Mitla2.255111461WSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140WSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123
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