TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111070
Played Sep 11Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171175116111113
Vitalii Boyko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAnton Shypilov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Vitalii Boyko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 93 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Anton Shypilov at 57.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 16–15 Vitalii Boyko Vitalii Boyko has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Shypilov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-15 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1481 vs Boyko 1516
Boyko
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 60% vs Boyko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 40% vs Boyko 70%
Boyko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +2 · Boyko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Shypilov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boyko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.61 / Boyko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Shypilov)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111070
Shypilov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 34 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Boyko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov8wins
AwayBoyko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov100%7 of 7
AwayBoyko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov7Boyko3n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S2Shypilov5Boyko5n = 10split evenly
S3Shypilov8Boyko2n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S4Shypilov4Boyko3n = 7Shypilov took 4 of 7
S5Shypilov2Boyko1n = 3Shypilov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovBoykoS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.2+3.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovBoykoBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 785 vs 215 / 47045.7%45.7%359 / 785 vs 215 / 470Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShypilovShypilov 1.61/Boyko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Shypilov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 23:30A. Shypilov—11149113V. Boyko—9121181
WAug 16 · 10:35A. Shypilov—1711113V. Boyko—15350
WAug 15 · 18:35A. Shypilov—71112113V. Boyko—1131071
WJun 21 · 06:05A. Shypilov—144116113V. Boyko—121191182
LJun 20 · 18:05A. Shypilov—911111092V. Boyko—119912113
WJun 6 · 02:30A. Shypilov—11811153V. Boyko—9115131
WMay 10 · 05:05A. Shypilov—111111113V. Boyko—913991
WMay 1 · 22:30A. Shypilov—1110115113V. Boyko—61251142
LApr 25 · 18:05A. Shypilov—46100V. Boyko—1111123
WApr 24 · 22:30A. Shypilov—1111113V. Boyko—9880
A. Shypilov10
WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 15:05V. Boyko3.501111113A. Kotyk1.282730WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112
Upcoming Matches
A. Shypilov
Sep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83O. Mitla1.83—Sep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00S. Kalenyk1.73—Sep 12 · 02:00A. Shypilov2.10V. Vlasenko1.67—Sep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov2.00O. Napirko1.73—Sep 12 · 14:35A. Shypilov1.83O. Mitla1.83—Sep 12 · 16:35A. Shypilov1.61V. Boyko2.20—Sep 12 · 18:35A. Shypilov2.00M. Smyrnov1.73—
V. Boyko
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