TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111484
Played Sep 12Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151181315115––
Serhii Kalenyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kalenyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Serhii Kalenyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 79 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Kalenyk at 54.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 40–45 Serhii Kalenyk Anton Shypilov has won 40 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kalenyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-45 in 85
Kalenyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1460 vs Kalenyk 1520
Kalenyk
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Kalenyk 60%
Kalenyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Kalenyk 50%
Kalenyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -2 · Kalenyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kalenyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.00 / Kalenyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Kalenyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111484
Shypilov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 185 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back28% 61 of 219
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 112
Kalenyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 114 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it71% 86 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov3wins
AwayKalenyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKalenyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov50%2 of 4
AwayKalenyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov4Kalenyk6n = 10Kalenyk took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov2Kalenyk8n = 10Kalenyk took 8 of 10
S3Shypilov5Kalenyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Shypilov3Kalenyk4n = 7Kalenyk took 4 of 7
S5Shypilov1Kalenyk2n = 3Kalenyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovKalenykS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.639.7−5.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovKalenykBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 787 vs 346 / 73345.6%47.2%359 / 787 vs 346 / 733Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenykShypilov 2.00/Kalenyk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Kalenyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov—961111113S. Kalenyk—11119362
LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov—11411842S. Kalenyk—611811113
LSep 2 · 02:45A. Shypilov—6870S. Kalenyk—1111113
LAug 20 · 01:45A. Shypilov—6111191S. Kalenyk—11813113
WAug 18 · 22:15A. Shypilov—111211113S. Kalenyk—914781
LAug 16 · 05:05A. Shypilov—3660S. Kalenyk—1111113
LAug 15 · 12:05A. Shypilov—51111692S. Kalenyk—115711113
LAug 13 · 21:15A. Shypilov—4590S. Kalenyk—1111113
LAug 12 · 23:15A. Shypilov—1210791S. Kalenyk—101211113
WAug 11 · 23:15A. Shypilov—14811113S. Kalenyk—1211991
A. Shypilov10
LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113
S. Kalenyk10
LSep 11 · 23:00V. Vlasenko1.801111133S. Kalenyk1.9189110WSep 11 · 22:00S. Kalenyk1.57111312113O. Mitla2.255111461WSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WSep 10 · 03:15S. Kalenyk1.671091111113O. Hura2.1012117762LSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102LSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113LSep 9 · 21:15M. Smyrnov1.57111311113S. Kalenyk2.251311491WSep 9 · 03:15S. Kalenyk2.38135813113M. Smyrnov1.531111111152WSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153
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