TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111394
Played Sep 12Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119117811115
Anton Shypilov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 55.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 47–43 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vlasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-43 in 90
Vlasenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1505 vs Shypilov 1474
Vlasenko
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 20% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 50% vs Shypilov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -1 · Shypilov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 1.67 / Shypilov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vlasenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111394
Vlasenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 45 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it67% 30 of 45
Shypilov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 185 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back28% 61 of 219
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko5wins
AwayShypilov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko75%3 of 4
AwayShypilov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Vlasenko5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S3Vlasenko8Shypilov2n = 10Vlasenko took 8 of 10
S4Vlasenko6Shypilov4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S5Vlasenko0Shypilov3n = 3Shypilov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoShypilovV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.1−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 935 vs 360 / 78843.6%45.7%408 / 935 vs 360 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoVlasenko 1.67/Shypilov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 24:30V. Vlasenko36781651A. Shypilov47111114113
WAug 26 · 22:45V. Vlasenko4918911113A. Shypilov441611981
WAug 25 · 22:45V. Vlasenko43101111113A. Shypilov31127481
WAug 21 · 21:30V. Vlasenko4612811153A. Shypilov4110117131
LAug 16 · 07:05V. Vlasenko3811411752A. Shypilov46611711113
LAug 15 · 16:05V. Vlasenko30711841A. Shypilov4211911113
WAug 13 · 22:45V. Vlasenko4412811133A. Shypilov3910117111
LAug 13 · 03:15V. Vlasenko4781191182A. Shypilov49117119113
WAug 12 · 03:15V. Vlasenko4291111113A. Shypilov32117681
LAug 9 · 07:05V. Vlasenko40101112252A. Shypilov501261011113
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113WSep 11 · 23:00V. Vlasenko1.801111133S. Kalenyk1.9189110LSep 11 · 21:30V. Vlasenko2.0071080O. Hura1.731112113LSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101WSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972LSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113WSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173
A. Shypilov10
WSep 12 · 18:35A. Shypilov2.001112113M. Smyrnov1.7371050WSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113LSep 12 · 15:35A. Shypilov2.106580S. Kalenyk1.671111113WSep 12 · 14:35O. Mitla1.839101141A. Shypilov1.8311129113WSep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov2.001111123O. Napirko1.7336100WSep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00111113113S. Kalenyk1.73581551LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173
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