TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117517
Played Sep 12Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111210511117511
Anton Shypilov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeAnton Shypilov to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Anton Shypilov at 55.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 16–17 Anton Shypilov Vitalii Boyko has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:53What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shypilov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1565 vs Shypilov 1495
Boyko
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 80% vs Shypilov 60%
Boyko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 70% vs Shypilov 50%
Boyko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +3 · Shypilov -1
Boyko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shypilov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boyko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.10 / Shypilov 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shypilov)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13117517
Boyko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 31 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Shypilov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 34 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 24 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko2wins
AwayShypilov8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoykon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShypilov87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko2Shypilov8n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S2Boyko4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Boyko2Shypilov8n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S4Boyko4Shypilov4n = 8split evenly
S5Boyko2Shypilov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoShypilovB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.743.7−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 477 vs 362 / 79246.1%45.7%220 / 477 vs 362 / 792Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShypilovBoyko 2.10/Shypilov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shypilov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 22:30V. Boyko49771111133A. Shypilov44111156112
LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2511770A. Shypilov351311113
LAug 21 · 23:30V. Boyko409121181A. Shypilov4511149113
LAug 16 · 10:35V. Boyko2315350A. Shypilov391711113
LAug 15 · 18:35V. Boyko311131071A. Shypilov4171112113
LJun 21 · 06:05V. Boyko51121191182A. Shypilov46144116113
WJun 20 · 18:05V. Boyko52119912113A. Shypilov50911111092
LJun 6 · 02:30V. Boyko389115131A. Shypilov4511811153
LMay 10 · 05:05V. Boyko40913991A. Shypilov44111111113
LMay 1 · 22:30V. Boyko3861251142A. Shypilov481110115113
V. Boyko10
WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642LSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113WSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2.2061250O. Hura1.611114113WSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152
A. Shypilov10
LSep 12 · 15:35A. Shypilov2.106580S. Kalenyk1.671111113WSep 12 · 14:35O. Mitla1.839101141A. Shypilov1.8311129113WSep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov2.001111123O. Napirko1.7336100LSep 12 · 02:00V. Vlasenko1.67811118113A. Shypilov2.1011971152WSep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00111113113S. Kalenyk1.73581551LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143
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