TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111215
Played Sep 12Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111311118611811
Vitalii Boyko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Boyko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Vitalii Boyko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Boyko at 59.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 27–65 Vitalii Boyko Valerii Vlasenko has won 27 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Boyko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-65 in 92
Boyko
Correct
gap of 38 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1516 vs Boyko 1514
Vlasenko
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 40% vs Boyko 60%
Boyko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 50% vs Boyko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko +1 · Boyko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Boyko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 2.20 / Boyko 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Boyko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111215
Vlasenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 130 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86
Boyko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 43 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko3wins
AwayBoyko7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko33.3%2 of 6
AwayBoyko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko6Boyko4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S2Vlasenko5Boyko5n = 10split evenly
S3Vlasenko4Boyko6n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S4Vlasenko5Boyko5n = 10split evenly
S5Vlasenko1Boyko5n = 6Boyko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoBoykoV − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.144.3−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoBoykoBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 934 vs 216 / 47243.7%45.8%408 / 934 vs 216 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoykoVlasenko 2.20/Boyko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Boyko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 24:30V. Vlasenko—1431121V. Boyko—16117113
WAug 16 · 09:05V. Vlasenko—13611113V. Boyko—1111751
WAug 15 · 14:35V. Vlasenko—5111111113V. Boyko—11913882
LAug 2 · 09:05V. Vlasenko—11614882V. Boyko—5111211113
LJun 20 · 24:30V. Vlasenko—119551V. Boyko—91111113
LJun 5 · 22:30V. Vlasenko—51111582V. Boyko—112411113
LMay 31 · 09:35V. Vlasenko—16871162V. Boyko—1411115113
LMay 30 · 16:35V. Vlasenko—111118992V. Boyko—922011113
LMay 29 · 22:30V. Vlasenko—81151182V. Boyko—116116113
WApr 19 · 09:05V. Vlasenko—111211113V. Boyko—5101361
V. Vlasenko10
WSep 11 · 23:00V. Vlasenko1.801111133S. Kalenyk1.9189110LSep 11 · 21:30V. Vlasenko2.0071080O. Hura1.731112113LSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101WSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972LSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113WSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2.2061250O. Hura1.611114113WSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113
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