TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116636
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksii Mitla
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012119411––
Anton Shypilov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Mitla above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 77 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Mitla 62–47 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 47 of their 109 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Shypilov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-47 in 109
Mitla
Wrong
gap of 15 in 109, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitla 1473 vs Shypilov 1500
Shypilov
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitla 40% vs Shypilov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitla 50% vs Shypilov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitla -1 · Shypilov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitla 1.83 / Shypilov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mitla)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116636
Mitla1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Shypilov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMitla6wins
AwayShypilov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitla100%5 of 5
AwayShypilov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitla5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S2Mitla5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mitla5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mitla6Shypilov4n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10
S5Mitla3Shypilov2n = 5Mitla took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMitlaShypilovM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.944.1−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitlaShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 771 vs 361 / 79043.6%45.7%336 / 771 vs 361 / 790Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaMitla 1.83/Shypilov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 24:00O. Mitla47511117133A. Shypilov48116911112
WSep 9 · 20:15O. Mitla47111212123A. Shypilov4391410101
LSep 8 · 20:15O. Mitla274101121A. Shypilov4211128113
WSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla4411913113A. Shypilov358111151
LSep 2 · 24:45O. Mitla47711811102A. Shypilov49118117123
LAug 29 · 19:05O. Mitla25271151A. Shypilov4211119113
WAug 28 · 21:00O. Mitla3711132113A. Shypilov398111191
WAug 26 · 23:45O. Mitla47111186113A. Shypilov4359111172
WAug 22 · 16:05O. Mitla50118614113A. Shypilov50811111282
LAug 19 · 20:45O. Mitla4891181282A. Shypilov501171110113
O. Mitla10
LSep 12 · 16:05O. Mitla1.8311101481M. Smyrnov1.8351216113LSep 12 · 12:35O. Mitla2.2061330S. Kalenyk1.61111583WSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 01:30O. Hura1.6711611113O. Mitla2.10411781WSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kalenyk1.57111312113O. Mitla2.255111461WSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140WSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582
A. Shypilov10
LSep 12 · 15:35A. Shypilov2.106580S. Kalenyk1.671111113WSep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov2.001111123O. Napirko1.7336100LSep 12 · 02:00V. Vlasenko1.67811118113A. Shypilov2.1011971152WSep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00111113113S. Kalenyk1.73581551LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182
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