TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116769
Played Sep 11Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8115111161210611
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 7–9 Jakub Nemecek Snr Vit Herrmann has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Herrmann beat Snr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Herrmann)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.53 / Snr 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Herrmann)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116769
Herrmann1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 41 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it70% 30 of 43
Snr2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 8 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerrmann6wins
AwaySnr4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHerrmann leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmannn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySnr50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann2Snr8n = 10Snr took 8 of 10
S2Herrmann4Snr6n = 10Snr took 6 of 10
S3Herrmann7Snr3n = 10Herrmann took 7 of 10
S4Herrmann4Snr3n = 7Herrmann took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerrmannSnrH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.3−0.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 445 vs 57 / 14049%40.7%218 / 445 vs 57 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.53/Snr 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 19:00V. Herrmann—61111113J. Snr—117831
LAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann—10440J. Snr—1211113
WAug 26 · 19:00V. Herrmann—11911123J. Snr—9117101
WMar 1 · 13:00V. Herrmann—1011118113J. Snr—12861142
WFeb 1 · 13:18V. Herrmann—71111113J. Snr—1185101
WFeb 1 · 10:15V. Herrmann—81113113J. Snr—1161181
WJan 11 · 12:30V. Herrmann—157127113J. Snr—1311101172
LSep 14 · 16:22V. Herrmann—8101161J. Snr—11129113
LSep 14 · 13:15V. Herrmann—7860J. Snr—1111113
LAug 16 · 16:40V. Herrmann—75100J. Snr—1111123
V. Herrmann10
LSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113LSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102LSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191LSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113LSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102WSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113
J. Snr10
LSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101LSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113
Upcoming Matches
V. Herrmann
J. Snr
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