TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115860
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.39
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161185111412––
Adam Duch
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:27 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1161185111412––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 30–51 Adam Duch Krzysztof Zapala has won 30 of their 81 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Duch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-51 in 81
Duch
Wrong
gap of 21 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1471 vs Duch 1660
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 40% vs Duch 60%
Duch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 20% vs Duch 70%
Duch
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala +1 · Duch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.39 / Duch 1.47
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Duch)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13115860
Zapala2.39
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 84 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 58
Duch1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 120 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala5wins
AwayDuch5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala33.3%2 of 6
AwayDuch25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala6Duch4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Zapala5Duch5n = 10split evenly
S3Zapala6Duch4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S4Zapala2Duch5n = 7Duch took 5 of 7
S5Zapala2Duch2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaDuchZ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.3+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 713 vs 452 / 75845%59.6%321 / 713 vs 452 / 758Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchZapala 2.39/Duch 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.1%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 16:30K. Zapala—118511132A. Duch—711116153
LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala—1610281A. Duch—141211113
LSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala—11914852A. Duch—7111211113
WAug 8 · 06:35K. Zapala—1111113A. Duch—7880
LAug 7 · 22:30K. Zapala—12116101A. Duch—101311123
WAug 7 · 16:00K. Zapala—911115113A. Duch—11951132
WAug 6 · 17:30K. Zapala—41111113A. Duch—118561
LAug 5 · 16:00K. Zapala—811100A. Duch—1113123
WJul 31 · 20:00K. Zapala—611119113A. Duch—11761172
WJul 30 · 18:30K. Zapala—1111113A. Duch—7820
K. Zapala10
WSep 11 · 18:30T. Stachera2.00611971K. Zapala1.7111811113WSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113
A. Duch10
WSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123WSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113LSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101WSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661WSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980WSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113
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