TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110340
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.39
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111181156111513
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:34 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
7111181156111513
H2H Adam Duch 50–30 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 30 of their 80 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (66%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-30 in 80
Duch
Correct
gap of 20 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1641 vs Zapala 1478
Duch
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 80% vs Zapala 20%
Duch
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 70% vs Zapala 20%
Duch
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch -1 · Zapala -4
Zapala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.39 / Zapala 2.65
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Duch)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13110340
Duch1.39
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 84 of 108
Zapala2.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch5wins
AwayZapala5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch25%1 of 4
AwayZapala33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Duch5Zapala5n = 10split evenly
S3Duch4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S4Duch6Zapala1n = 7Duch took 6 of 7
S5Duch1Zapala2n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchZapalaD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.9−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 753 vs 319 / 70659.4%45.2%447 / 753 vs 319 / 706Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.39/Zapala 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:35A. Duch—141211113K. Zapala—1610281
WSep 5 · 17:05A. Duch—7111211113K. Zapala—11914852
LAug 8 · 06:35A. Duch—7880K. Zapala—1111113
WAug 7 · 22:30A. Duch—101311123K. Zapala—12116101
LAug 7 · 16:00A. Duch—11951132K. Zapala—911115113
LAug 6 · 17:30A. Duch—118561K. Zapala—41111113
WAug 5 · 16:00A. Duch—1113123K. Zapala—811100
LJul 31 · 20:00A. Duch—11761172K. Zapala—611119113
LJul 30 · 18:30A. Duch—7820K. Zapala—1111113
WJul 29 · 16:00A. Duch—101511113K. Zapala—1213691
A. Duch10
LSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192
K. Zapala10
LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111
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