TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110696
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111513115811811
Damian Bucko
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
9111513115811811
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 36–35 Damian Bucko Damian Bucko has won 35 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Bucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-35 in 71
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1472 vs Bucko 1583
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 0% vs Bucko 60%
Bucko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 20% vs Bucko 50%
Bucko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -5 · Bucko -1
Zapala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.10 / Bucko 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bucko)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13110696
Zapala2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Bucko1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 43 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala4wins
AwayBucko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala60%3 of 5
AwayBucko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala5Bucko5n = 10split evenly
S2Zapala4Bucko6n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Zapala4Bucko6n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S4Zapala3Bucko3n = 6split evenly
S5Zapala2Bucko3n = 5Bucko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaBuckoZ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.8−3.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 707 vs 331 / 60045.1%55.2%319 / 707 vs 331 / 600Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoZapala 2.10/Bucko 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala—154110D. Bucko—1711133
LSep 5 · 19:35K. Zapala—3950D. Bucko—1111113
WSep 3 · 16:30K. Zapala—9111313133D. Bucko—1171511112
LAug 29 · 19:35K. Zapala—7350D. Bucko—1111113
LAug 27 · 16:30K. Zapala—111166102D. Bucko—691111123
LAug 21 · 17:30K. Zapala—11613972D. Bucko—2111111113
WAug 20 · 16:30K. Zapala—12911113D. Bucko—1011791
WAug 12 · 17:30K. Zapala—1111113D. Bucko—4560
LAug 11 · 16:30K. Zapala—61141142D. Bucko—118117113
WAug 6 · 16:30K. Zapala—1161211113D. Bucko—811101392
K. Zapala10
LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111
D. Bucko10
LSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113
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