TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110091
Played Sep 10Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411117711116119
Damian Bucko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
411117711116119
H2H Karol Guzy 30–40 Damian Bucko Karol Guzy has won 30 of their 70 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Bucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-40 in 70
Bucko
Wrong
gap of 10 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1690 vs Bucko 1591
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 80% vs Bucko 60%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Bucko 50%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +2 · Bucko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.87 / Bucko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guzy)+4.5pp
TT Cup · #13110091
Guzy1.87
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog53% won 67 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back38% 21 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back21% 6 of 29
Bucko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 43 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy5wins
AwayBucko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy66.7%4 of 6
AwayBucko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy6Bucko4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Guzy5Bucko5n = 10split evenly
S3Guzy2Bucko8n = 10Bucko took 8 of 10
S4Guzy5Bucko4n = 9Guzy took 5 of 9
S5Guzy2Bucko1n = 3Guzy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyBuckoG − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.0−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1065 vs 331 / 59959.9%55.3%638 / 1065 vs 331 / 599Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.87/Bucko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 21:05K. Guzy—11711113D. Bucko—511941
LSep 4 · 18:00K. Guzy—11761192D. Bucko—911115113
WSep 3 · 20:00K. Guzy—1112126133D. Bucko—2101411112
WAug 29 · 15:05K. Guzy—11312113D. Bucko—7111071
LAug 28 · 14:30K. Guzy—113931D. Bucko—91111113
LAug 27 · 20:00K. Guzy—31090D. Bucko—1112113
WAug 12 · 19:30K. Guzy—811711123D. Bucko—119112102
WAug 11 · 22:30K. Guzy—11119133D. Bucko—7911111
LAug 11 · 18:00K. Guzy—611981D. Bucko—11911113
LAug 6 · 18:00K. Guzy—1011791D. Bucko—12811113
K. Guzy10
WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192
D. Bucko10
WSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113
Upcoming Matches
K. Guzy
D. Bucko
Nothing scheduled
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