TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109831
Played Sep 10Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191315113511117
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1191315113511117
H2H Karol Guzy 9–14 Bilski Bartosz Karol Guzy has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Bartosz
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1684 vs Bartosz 1481
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Bartosz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Bartosz 50%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +1 · Bartosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.51 / Bartosz 2.29
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Guzy)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13109831
Guzy1.51
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 167 of 273
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Bartosz2.29
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy5wins
AwayBartosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy71.4%5 of 7
AwayBartosz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy7Bartosz3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S2Guzy4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S3Guzy5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Guzy0Bartosz7n = 7Bartosz took 7 of 7
S5Guzy3Bartosz0n = 3Guzy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyBartoszG − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.037.00.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1065 vs 110 / 21159.9%52.1%638 / 1065 vs 110 / 211Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.51/Bartosz 2.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy—1113115113B. Bartosz—91531172
WJun 27 · 08:05K. Guzy—1111163B. Bartosz—85140
LJun 26 · 17:00K. Guzy—911771B. Bartosz—11811113
LMay 20 · 18:00K. Guzy—7980B. Bartosz—1111113
WApr 29 · 14:00K. Guzy—119114113B. Bartosz—41141162
LApr 23 · 19:30K. Guzy—7711101B. Bartosz—11113123
WApr 16 · 21:30K. Guzy—1111113B. Bartosz—4860
LApr 16 · 18:00K. Guzy—1171041B. Bartosz—71112113
LApr 15 · 18:00K. Guzy—1163111B. Bartosz—81111133
WApr 12 · 07:35K. Guzy—131174113B. Bartosz—119111172
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
B. Bartosz10
LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140WJun 27 · 13:35D. Kovtanyuk—4460B. Bartosz—1111113LJun 27 · 13:05B. Bartosz—5820D. Kovtanyuk—1111113WJun 27 · 11:05P. Kos1.83127119112B. Bartosz1.811011811133LJun 27 · 09:05K. Zapala1.7771111123B. Bartosz1.871195101
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