TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12466223
Played Aug 20Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611511811––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.39
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:27 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
119611511811––
H2H Damian Bucko 11–9 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Bucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Bucko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1604 vs Bartosz 1482
Bucko
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 60% vs Bartosz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 40% vs Bartosz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -1 · Bartosz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.47 / Bartosz 2.39
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Bucko)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12466223
Bucko1.47
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 34 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Bartosz2.39
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko5wins
AwayBartosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko100%3 of 3
AwayBartosz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko3Bartosz7n = 10Bartosz took 7 of 10
S2Bucko5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Bucko4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S4Bucko3Bartosz5n = 8Bartosz took 5 of 8
S5Bucko3Bartosz0n = 3Bucko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoBartoszBucko − BartoszBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.740.5−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 604 vs 115 / 21856.8%52.8%343 / 604 vs 115 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.47/Bartosz 2.39
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.4%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 29 · 20:00D. Bucko—1111841B. Bartosz—13911113
LApr 23 · 14:30D. Bucko—6780B. Bartosz—1111113
WApr 16 · 15:30D. Bucko—1211133113B. Bartosz—149111142
WApr 11 · 22:05D. Bucko—11813113B. Bartosz—6111181
WApr 1 · 17:00D. Bucko—41114113B. Bartosz—1111261
LFeb 28 · 22:05D. Bucko—1314951B. Bartosz—151211113
LFeb 8 · 14:05D. Bucko—9540B. Bartosz—1111113
WFeb 2 · 20:30D. Bucko—163118113B. Bartosz—141181142
WJan 7 · 20:30D. Bucko—1111911113B. Bartosz—81311952
LDec 30 · 20:30D. Bucko—711551B. Bartosz—11411113
D. Bucko10
WSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113
B. Bartosz10
LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140WJun 27 · 13:35D. Kovtanyuk—4460B. Bartosz—1111113LJun 27 · 13:05B. Bartosz—5820D. Kovtanyuk—1111113WJun 27 · 11:05P. Kos1.83127119112B. Bartosz1.811011811133LJun 27 · 09:05K. Zapala1.7771111123B. Bartosz1.871195101
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