TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109830
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.61
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12107111181113711
Damian Bucko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
12107111181113711
H2H Adam Duch 59–54 Damian Bucko Damian Bucko has won 54 of their 113 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Duch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-54 in 113
Duch
Wrong
gap of 5 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1654 vs Bucko 1578
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 80% vs Bucko 40%
Duch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 80% vs Bucko 50%
Duch
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch +4 · Bucko +1
Duch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.61 / Bucko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Duch)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13109830
Duch1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 84 of 108
Bucko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 70 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back19% 8 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch5wins
AwayBucko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch57.1%4 of 7
AwayBucko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch7Bucko3n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Duch4Bucko6n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Duch7Bucko3n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S4Duch2Bucko4n = 6Bucko took 4 of 6
S5Duch1Bucko2n = 3Bucko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchBuckoD − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.2+1.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 752 vs 339 / 60959.4%55.7%447 / 752 vs 339 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.61/Bucko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 18:05A. Duch—871111113D. Bucko—11118782
LSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch—91180D. Bucko—1113113
LAug 6 · 14:30A. Duch—1161071D. Bucko—91112113
LAug 5 · 19:00A. Duch—11911972D. Bucko—911911113
WJul 30 · 20:00A. Duch—11118113D. Bucko—991181
LJul 10 · 18:00A. Duch—12911792D. Bucko—1011511113
LJul 9 · 15:00A. Duch—981151D. Bucko—11116113
WJun 19 · 14:30A. Duch—1111113D. Bucko—9930
WJun 18 · 15:30A. Duch—1111113D. Bucko—8860
WJun 13 · 17:35A. Duch—1111113D. Bucko—6960
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113
D. Bucko10
LSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113
Upcoming Matches
A. Duch
D. Bucko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.