TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12462952
Played Aug 20Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115611711––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
911115611711––
H2H Pawel Kos 8–7 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (54%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1449 vs Bartosz 1471
Bartosz
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 20% vs Bartosz 40%
Bartosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 40% vs Bartosz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -2 · Bartosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.68 / Bartosz 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kos)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12462952
Kos1.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 38 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Bartosz1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos5wins
AwayBartosz5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos83.3%5 of 6
AwayBartosz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos6Bartosz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S2Kos3Bartosz7n = 10Bartosz took 7 of 10
S3Kos6Bartosz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Bartosz1n = 4Kos took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosBartoszK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.532.5+1.0per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 650 vs 114 / 21744.6%52.5%290 / 650 vs 114 / 217Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.68/Bartosz 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 29 · 22:00P. Kos—1111113B. Bartosz—2570
WApr 29 · 17:00P. Kos—1114113B. Bartosz—51280
LMar 30 · 15:30P. Kos—1431161B. Bartosz—16117113
LMar 28 · 19:30P. Kos—14821292B. Bartosz—12111110113
LFeb 2 · 16:30P. Kos—9770B. Bartosz—1111113
WNov 25 · 21:05P. Kos—1111123B. Bartosz—33100
WNov 25 · 19:35P. Kos—111012113B. Bartosz—4121061
LSep 12 · 18:35P. Kos—8990B. Bartosz—1111113
LSep 2 · 16:05P. Kos—12740B. Bartosz—1411113
WAug 27 · 22:00P. Kos—11411113B. Bartosz—911881
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133
B. Bartosz10
LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140WJun 27 · 13:35D. Kovtanyuk—4460B. Bartosz—1111113LJun 27 · 13:05B. Bartosz—5820D. Kovtanyuk—1111113WJun 27 · 11:05P. Kos1.83127119112B. Bartosz1.811011811133LJun 27 · 09:05K. Zapala1.7771111123B. Bartosz1.871195101
Upcoming Matches
P. Kos
Nothing scheduled
B. Bartosz
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