TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111660
Played Sep 10Finished
Bilski Bartosz
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11823251012119411
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
124 points played in total.
Set by set
11823251012119411
H2H Bilski Bartosz 9–15 Krzysztof Zapala Bilski Bartosz has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bartosz beat Zapala 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zapala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (0%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartosz 2.40 / Zapala 1.51
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zapala)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13111660
Bartosz2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Zapala1.51
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 63 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartosz2wins
AwayZapala8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartosz40%2 of 5
AwayZapala100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartosz5Zapala5n = 10split evenly
S2Bartosz2Zapala8n = 10Zapala took 8 of 10
S3Bartosz3Zapala7n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S4Bartosz1Zapala5n = 6Zapala took 5 of 6
S5Bartosz1Zapala2n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartoszZapalaB − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.641.1−7.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartoszZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 215 vs 319 / 71051.6%44.9%111 / 215 vs 319 / 710Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaBartosz 2.40/Zapala 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 20:30B. Bartosz—1191110133K. Zapala—511812112
LAug 20 · 22:00B. Bartosz—61190K. Zapala—1113113
LAug 20 · 20:30B. Bartosz—8780K. Zapala—1111113
LJun 27 · 09:05B. Bartosz—1195101K. Zapala—71111123
WJun 26 · 16:00B. Bartosz—12117123K. Zapala—10911101
LApr 23 · 17:30B. Bartosz—13911972K. Zapala—1111811113
LApr 16 · 20:30B. Bartosz—5590K. Zapala—1111113
LApr 15 · 20:30B. Bartosz—12101110102K. Zapala—1012912123
LApr 12 · 14:35B. Bartosz—4260K. Zapala—1111113
LApr 12 · 10:05B. Bartosz—511521K. Zapala—11911113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113
K. Zapala10
LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190WAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780
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