TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111001
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.87
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51111981112101113
Bilski Bartosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
51111981112101113
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 15–8 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Bartosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1460 vs Bartosz 1447
Zapala
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 0% vs Bartosz 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 10% vs Bartosz 30%
Bartosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -5 · Bartosz -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.87 / Bartosz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zapala)+4.5pp
TT Cup · #13111001
Zapala1.87
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Bartosz1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 10 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala8wins
AwayBartosz2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala83.3%5 of 6
AwayBartosz25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala6Bartosz4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Zapala7Bartosz3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Zapala8Bartosz2n = 10Zapala took 8 of 10
S4Zapala4Bartosz2n = 6Zapala took 4 of 6
S5Zapala2Bartosz1n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaBartoszZ − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.432.8+7.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 709 vs 110 / 21445%51.4%319 / 709 vs 110 / 214Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.87/Bartosz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190
WAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala—1111113B. Bartosz—8780
WJun 27 · 09:05K. Zapala—71111123B. Bartosz—1195101
LJun 26 · 16:00K. Zapala—10911101B. Bartosz—12117123
WApr 23 · 17:30K. Zapala—1111811113B. Bartosz—13911972
WApr 16 · 20:30K. Zapala—1111113B. Bartosz—5590
WApr 15 · 20:30K. Zapala—1012912123B. Bartosz—12101110102
WApr 12 · 14:35K. Zapala—1111113B. Bartosz—4260
WApr 12 · 10:05K. Zapala—11911113B. Bartosz—511521
LApr 1 · 18:30K. Zapala—11711562B. Bartosz—911411113
K. Zapala10
LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113
B. Bartosz10
LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140
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