TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110781
Played Sep 10Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119101291115131210
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 70.5% is still 70.5%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
70.5%
70.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
112 points played in total.
Set by set
119101291115131210
H2H Karol Guzy 67–41 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 41 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-41 in 108
Guzy
Correct
gap of 26 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1707 vs Zapala 1464
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 242 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 80% vs Zapala 0%
Guzy
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Zapala 10%
Guzy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +4 · Zapala -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.36 / Zapala 2.80
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Guzy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13110781
Guzy1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 167 of 273
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Zapala2.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy7wins
AwayZapala3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy100%4 of 4
AwayZapala50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Guzy7Zapala3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S3Guzy7Zapala3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S4Guzy3Zapala4n = 7Zapala took 4 of 7
S5Guzy3Zapala1n = 4Guzy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyZapalaG − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.240.3+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime640 / 1067 vs 319 / 70860%45.1%640 / 1067 vs 319 / 708Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.36/Zapala 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 11:05K. Guzy—111110113K. Zapala—781291
LSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy—1081181K. Zapala—12113113
WSep 3 · 18:30K. Guzy—1211113K. Zapala—10570
WAug 29 · 21:35K. Guzy—11122511133K. Zapala—13102313112
WAug 27 · 18:30K. Guzy—11811113K. Zapala—911691
WAug 13 · 22:00K. Guzy—412118113K. Zapala—111041182
WAug 13 · 18:30K. Guzy—8111110113K. Zapala—11691272
LAug 12 · 22:40K. Guzy—6980K. Zapala—1111113
LAug 12 · 20:30K. Guzy—151111192K. Zapala—176115113
WAug 11 · 20:30K. Guzy—1511123K. Zapala—138100
K. Guzy10
WSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123
K. Zapala10
LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133
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